BTC5.cloud — BTC 5-Minute Predictions

Live Window--

--------

…

Loading…

Next Window--

--------

预判中

T-2min · 2-Minute Plan--

--------

预判中

目标价格 · 当期开盘

—

Target (TWAP open)

当前价格 · TWAP均值(结算)

—

现货 · 秒级实时

—

vs TWAP—

10s—

30s—

Window · —

—

O — · H — · L — · C —

Per-window record (last 3 days · newest first · paged)

Loading hit-rate stats…

Markers (%B = candle position within BOLL(20,2.5)): 🔴 C1 near upper band (%B≥0.8) → DOWN · C3 near mid band (0.45~0.55) — avoid; 🟢 C2 near lower band (%B≤0.2) → UP — bonus

Window	Call	Prob	Actual	Result	Src

Directional call 2 min before window close, from the Chainlink gap · per-window record (newest first · gap = TWAP spot − target · ≥0 = UP · ties count as Up)

Loading hit-rate stats…

Window	Call	gap($)	Actual	Result	Src

Markers (%B = candle position within BOLL(20,2.5); red/green dot = triggered on any leg): 🔴 C1 near upper band (%B≥0.8) → DOWN · C3 near mid (0.45~0.55) — avoid (solo success 76~78%; removing them adds +5.4pp to plan success); 🟢 C2 near lower band (%B≤0.2) → UP — bonus (100% in backtest, matches lower-band-break reversal); 🟡 Edge entry %B in 0.55~0.8 or 0.40~0.45 — high mid-leg breakout risk (17~26% historically), but data supports continuing the chain after breakout (post-breakout leg hit-rate unchanged) · accumulating, to be re-validated

Plan Window	Legs	Progress

3-Leg Plan (martingale chain: each leg follows the single-period call; any win closes the plan, next window starts a new one; 3 straight losses = plan lost · from window 09170000 · paged)

Markers (%B = candle position within BOLL(20,2.5); red/green dot = triggered on any leg): 🔴 C1 near upper band (%B≥0.8) → DOWN · C3 near mid (0.45~0.55) — avoid (+1.6pp when removed); 🟢 C2 near lower band (%B≤0.2) → UP — bonus (100% in backtest); 🟡 Edge entry %B in 0.55~0.8 or 0.40~0.45 — high mid-leg breakout risk (17~26%), but data supports continuing the chain after breakout · accumulating, to be re-validated

Plan Window	Legs	Progress

4-Leg Plan (martingale chain: same rules as 3-leg, up to 4 legs · from window 09170000 · paged)

Notes. Orange highlight on a tab means a new window or signal appeared; it clears once opened. Single-period records cover the last 3 days; 3-leg / 4-leg plans run from window 09170000 with paging. The model uses 21 features (BOLL(20,2.5)/MACD/KDJ/CCI/RSI …); overall backtest accuracy on 73,107 historical windows is 51.28%; ★ strong-signal tier (|P−50%|≥4%, ~11 windows/day) backtests 54~55%; ⚡ band-break reversal (~10 windows/day) backtests 56.1%; when ★⚡ coincide the two directions always agree. Under taker fees the breakeven at 50¢ is 51.75%. History includes backtest backfill (marked "test"). Martingale chains amplify single-plan losses (a miss = losing n legs in a row) — size positions accordingly. For research only; not investment advice.